OEF RESEARCH produces actionable, empirical research that speaks to how a world without war can be achieved.  Read more
 
 
Mayan Ruins and Climate Change
Political Conflict

Climate Change Causes Conflict? Climate Change Doesn’t Matter? Don’t Rush to Conclusions Either Way

June 21, 2017

Some assume climate change will lead to increased conflict. Climate change is certainly a threat to the well-being and livelihoods of people around the world, but the relationship between climate and violent conflict is not as straightforward.

Read More
Traumatic Events

OEF Research's Director Conor Seyle Presents on Supporting Resilience After Conflict or Disaster

Conor Seyle presented a talk on “Public health approaches to mass traumatic events” to an audience of Ukrainian government emergency response workers, members of the military, and psychologists.

Featured Activity

Forecasting Coup

CoupCast

The CoupCast project, led by Curtis Bell, uses historical data and machine learning to predict the likelihood of a coup attempt occurring in any country on a month to month basis.  Read more.


Datasets

Terrorist Social Services Data Set

Terrorist and Insurgent Organization Social Services (TIOS)

TIOS gives researchers and practitioners the opportunity to better understand conflicts and their outcomes when terrorists, rebels, and insurgents provide social services to theirs supporters.  Read more.

Irregular Elections Dataset

Rulers, Elections, and Irregular Governance (REIGN)

REIGN describes political conditions in every country each and every month. The dataset is updated monthly to reflect the most recent political events and changes in leadership.  Read more.

OEF Research On Twitter