News & Events

Peace By Numbers

September 22, 2017

The Debate Continues: Peace by the Numbers

Political Conflict

Aaron Clauset brings something new to the table by showing that the Correlates of War (COW) dataset on international war size and timing is compatible with a “no change” model according to which the risks of international wars of all possible sizes have remained stable over the last two centuries.  Michael Spagat, Professor of Economics at Royal Holloway College, University of London,... more

Still chance of large war

September 20, 2017

70 Years of Peace: By Accident or Design?

Political Conflict

The second half of the twentieth century showed marked declines in both the number of major wars and the deaths associated with them.

Kenya Elections

September 08, 2017

International Elections and Leaders: September 2017 Update

REIGN DATASET: International Elections and Leaders

This month, for the first time in Africa, a court voided an election of a sitting leader. 

business operations in fragile states

August 15, 2017

Businesses: An Underappreciated Resource for Reducing Fragility

Business & Governance

OEF Researchers explore how the private sector operates in fragile states, highlighting opportunities for engagement in an often-overlooked sector in a new blog for the Fragile States Resource Center. 

August 10, 2017

OEF Research Presents at EUROMEC Conference in Dublin, Ireland

Political Institutions, Evolution, Cooperation, and Conflict

How does personal identity formation lead to support for regional organizations like the European Union?  This question was presented at a panel discussion as part of a EUROMEC conference at Trinity College in Dublin, Ireland.  This panel was titled “European Union: A View from Outside” and brought in contributors from around the world and various academic disciplines.

An empty soccer field in Colombia

August 10, 2017

To Achieve Peace, Colombians Must Get Beyond the Victim and Perpetrator Narrative

Political Conflict

While Colombians signed a peace treaty in November 2016, anger and resentment remain on all sides. The government is working to reincorporate the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) and other rebels into mainstream Colombian society. But can Colombians truly find peace when neither side acknowledges their role in the war—when people see others as “perpetrators” and their own people... more

Venezuelan protests 2017

August 07, 2017

When Might Venezuela Finally Break? Follow the Oil.

Forecasting, Political Conflict, CoupCast

For insights on the future of the Maduro regime, look less at Venezuela’s chaotic politics and more at the nation’s oil production.

Gold mining in the DR Congo

August 04, 2017

The Dodd-Frank Repeal: What it Means for Conflict Minerals

Political Conflict, Business & Governance

With the repeal of the Dodd-Frank act imminent, we reflect on whether consumer-driven governance initiatives, such as the Conflict Minerals Provision, have a role to play in reducing armed conflict.

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