CoupCast

CoupCast uses historical data and machine learning to predict the likelihood of a coup attempt occurring in any country on a month to month basis. Using historical coup activity, CoupCast identifies the baseline risk factors and short-term triggers that greatly increase the likelihood of a coup. All the data are open-source, unclassified, and available on the Dataset page.
Forecasted coup risk - . . .
Range
Lower
 
Higher
Latest Trends:
Highest Liklihood of a Coup: Calculating ...
Coup Risk Over Time
Agg Year List (Y)
 
Years (X)
Top 5 for month
Countries(Y)
 
Monthly Risk (X)
Top 5 for year
Countries (Y)
 
Year Risk (X)

Related News

Attempted Coup in Equatorial Guinea?

Corrupt control over Equatorial Guinea’s globally significant oil deposits by the ruling elite has been a defining feature of the politics in one of Africa’s wealthiest countries

Mugabe Loses Grip

The Region's Role in Shaping Post-Coup Zimbabwe

After 37 years Robert Mugabe has lost his grip on power. The military takeover appears to be their move to ensure their interests are protected in a post-Mugabe Zimbabwe

United Nations Peacekeeper in Africa

Will South Africa Come to the Rescue of Zimbabwe? Don’t Hold Your Breath

South Africa’s muddled role in championing good governance and peacekeeping on the continent holds little promise of being the beacon of light.