Publication List
Annual Risk of Coup Report - 2019
Written by Jay Benson, Matthew Frank, Clayton Besaw, Jonathan Powell, Eric Keels on April 26, 2019The goals of this first ever Annual Risk of Coup Report are two-fold. First, it provides an in-depth global and regional look at the likelihood of coup events for 2019 based on a combination of quantitative forecasting and qualitative analysis of specific coup-prone states.
Reassessing Rebellion
Written by Jay Benson, Joshua Lambert, Eric Keels on March 15, 2019Though historically the number of armed conflicts has been declining, there has been a recent surge in ongoing civil wars. Intrastate armed conflicts therefore represent a persistent and dangerous threat to global stability. Breaking from past studies, our report examines recent trends in civil war dynamics.
Peace is Ours: A Story of Peace and Reconciliation in Colombia
Written by Timothy Schommer, Illustrator: Chloé Dolic on March 6, 2019Peace is Ours is the story of a young couple, Ximena and Jair, who attempt to build their lives in the shadow of the Colombian peace process in 2016.
The Missing Peace: Gender Considerations in Colombia's Reintegration Efforts
on March 5, 2019Gender perspectives are understood as the differences in needs and challenges of men, women, boys, and girls which are based on the social construction of gender roles and norms.
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles: Implications for Fragile States
Written by Sierra Method, Victor Odundo Owuor on February 22, 2019The fact-sheet is a continuation of the OEFR Business & Governance project’s series on disruptive technologies and fragile states. The global market for unmanned aircraft vehicles (UAVs) or “drones” has grown rapidly in last few years.
Policy Brief: Diaspora’s Investment in Fragile and Conflict Impacted Economies
Written by Jay Benson, Victor Odundo Owuor on February 12, 2019Fragile and conflict impacted states often suffer from a severe lack of investment capital for private sector development. Diaspora investors have the potential to play a critical role as frontier investors, providing much needed capital for economic growth and development.
Investing from Abroad
Written by Jay Benson, Victor Odundo Owuor on February 11, 2019Fragile and conflict impacted states often suffer from a severe lack of investment capital for private sector development. Diaspora investors have the potential to play a critical role as frontier investors, providing much needed capital for economic growth and development.
Exploring the Puzzle of Rebel Terrorism
Written by Eric Keels on December 11, 2018The decision by rebel groups to employ terrorism is influenced, in part, by the structure of rebel organizations as well as the strategic environment in which they operate.